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The probability that a certain person will buy a shirt is 0.2, the probability that he will buy a coat is 0.3 and the probability that he will buy a shirt given that he buys a coat is 0.4. Find the probability that he will buy both a shirt and a coat.

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Best answer

Let P(A) be the probability of a certain person buying a shirt.

∴ P(A) = 0.2

Let P(B) be the probability of him buying a coat.

∴ P(B) = 0.3

Let P(A ∩ B) be the probability that he buys both a shirt and a coat.

Tip – By conditional probability, P(A/B) = \(\frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B )}\) where P(A/B) is the probability of occurrence of the event 

A given that B has already occurred.

The probability that he will buy a shirt given that he buys a coat:

⇨ P(A∩B) = P(B) P(A⁄B)

= 0.3 × 0.4

= 0.12

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