Let A1 : Event that the bulb is produced by machine E1
A2 : Event that the bulb is produced by machine E2
A3 : Event that the bulb is produced by machine E3
A : Event that the picked up bulb is defective
Here, P(A1) = 50% = 50/100 = 1/2,
.'. The probability that the picked bulb is defective,