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in Statistics and probability by (54.9k points)

Sania Mirza is to play with Sharapova in a three set match. For a particular set, the probability of Sania winning the set is y and if she wins probability of her winning the next set becomes y else the probability that she wins the next one becomes y2. There is no possibility that a set is to be abandoned. R is the probability that Sania wins the first set.

If Sania loses the first set, then the values of R such that her probability of winning the match is still larger than that of her loosing are given by

(A) R (1/2, 1)

(B) R ∈ [(1/2)1/3, 1]

(C) R ∈ [(1/2)3/2, 1]

(D) No values of R

1 Answer

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Best answer

Answer is (B) R ∈ [(1/2)1/3, 1]

Probability that Sania wins the match = (1 – R)R2 R = R3(1 – R)

Probability Sania loses the match = (1 – R)R2(1 – R) + (1 – R) (1 – R2)

Hence, 

R3 (1 – R) > (1 – R)R2(1 – R) + (1 – R) (1 – R2)

⇒ R3 > R2(1 – R) + (1 – R2) = 1 – R3

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