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in Probability and Probability Distribution by (46.3k points)

A card from a pack of 52 card is lost From remaining cards of the pack, two cards are drawn found to be both diamonds. Find probability of the lost card being a diamond.

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Best answer

Let Events E1 = Lost card is diamond 

E2 = Lost card is not diamond 

The number of diamond card = 13 out of 52 cards.

∴ P(E1) = 13C1/52C1 = 13/52 = 1/4

and 39 cards are not diamonds

∴ Probability P(E2) = 39/52 = 3/4

(i) When a card of diamond lost there remaining cards of diamond are 12 out of 52

∴ P(A/E1) = 12C2/51C2 = (12 x 11)/(51 x 50)

Here A represents the cards lost. 

(ii) When diamond card is not 

Lost then probability of drawing 2 cards of diamond

P = 13C2/51C2 = (13 x 12)/(51 x 50)

∴ Probability that lost card is a diamond

Hence, required probability = 11/50

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